Epidemic modeling – basics and challenges

April 23, 2020 6:30pm UTC

April 23, 2020 2:30pm UTC -04 (Host local time)

Speaker: Andrea Bertozzi (UCLA) - Hosted by ETH-Zurich, Michigan State, TUM, UCLA, UCSD

Abstract:
I will review basics of epidemic modeling including eponential growth, compartmental models and self-exciting point process models. I will illustrate how such models have been used in the past for previous pandemics and what the challenges are for forecasting the current COVID-19 pandemic. I will show some examples of fitting of data to US states and what one can do with those results. (...)